{ "analysisId": "field-746bbacab8f50df741a39851", "bindingId": "field_route_stress", "engineId": "field", "evaluatedAt": "2026-08-03T09:02:00Z", "inputSha256": "sha256:d03d0a7dcf372735df14d81f3860cb090d868e0facce68163af0e8dcfd2e027d", "methodManifestSha256": "sha256:f9ee430a495af9322a0cfc8fab8aaa8ffda50880cfe863a70d5818f3b6882b45", "methodVersion": "macrovision-field-certified-pilot-v5", "outcome": "completed", "outputSha256": "sha256:ad7ff5dd91a5b12f42fbc3fa2bace2996fbe9d4421922046aa36a282a32f2bf0", "payload": { "authorityState": "active", "case": { "caseId": "case.hard-usd-candidate", "caseVersion": 1, "caseVersionId": "case.hard-usd-candidate.v1", "decisionFamilyId": "hard_usd_obligation_review", "legalEntityId": "entity_reference_us", "organisationId": "org_reference_payments_co" }, "contracts": { "authority": { "contractId": "authority-contract-reference-payments", "contractSha256": "sha256:aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa", "contractVersionId": "authority-contract-reference-payments-v1", "schemaVersion": "macrovision-authority-contract-v1", "version": 1 }, "connectors": [ { "contractId": "connector-contract-reference-workflow-simulator", "contractSha256": "sha256:f997baeb94deb83ee9ef2e179c5d5b85c625e3ee6a36b30e19bf1b8447899dbf", "contractVersionId": "connector-contract-reference-workflow-simulator-v1", "schemaVersion": "macrovision-connector-contract-v1", "version": 1 } ], "decision": { "contractId": "decision-contract-hard-usd-review", "contractSha256": "sha256:f6bc719c4757ec8b99c69a8eb86ba1ef35db285c8271bdbfbc32ec7afa0974a4", "contractVersionId": "decision-contract-hard-usd-review-v2", "schemaVersion": "macrovision-decision-contract-v1", "version": 2 }, "evidence": { "contractId": "evidence-contract-hard-usd-review", "contractSha256": "sha256:eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee", "contractVersionId": "evidence-contract-hard-usd-review-v1", "schemaVersion": "macrovision-evidence-contract-v1", "version": 1 }, "operating": { "contractId": "operating-contract-hard-usd-obligation-review", "contractSha256": "sha256:9edc6a582d0f1a731828c9c14db2482661ce920503cbeb0ac07cfb0c2430721d", "contractVersionId": "operating-contract-hard-usd-obligation-review-v2", "schemaVersion": "macrovision-treasury-operating-contract-v1", "version": 2 } }, "executionMode": "limited", "knowledgeCutoff": "2026-08-03T08:55:00Z", "report": { "analysisId": "field-746bbacab8f50df741a39851", "asOf": "2026-08-03T00:00:00Z", "assumptions": [ "single declared currency and destination account; FX is outside this pilot", "calendar-day processing buckets; proceeds settling at boundary d are usable against obligations due at boundary d", "baseline positions are submitted for full redemption at asOf; the certified Escape pilot exhausts integer action days for one selected position", "each baseline position has one serial Coxian route; the Escape pilot may replace the selected position's route with one explicitly declared second route", "nominal time-expanded max-flow/min-cut ignores stochastic phase readiness and haircuts; simulated usable cash is produced by the pathwise tranche ledger", "money is cent-validated below the conservative binary64 exact-cent ceiling; liability shocks beyond the reporting domain saturate at that exact-cent deficit without changing breach classification" ], "baseCurrency": "USD", "calibrationNotice": "Shadow-only: calibrate stage intensities, absorbing outcomes, shared events, capacities, and haircuts from institution-specific evidence before publication.", "closestFailure": null, "dependencyTomography": { "aggregateDeclaredRouteCapacityPerDay": 5000000, "dominantDependency": "bank-a", "dominantShare": 1, "effectiveIndependentRouteGroups": 1, "independentRouteGroups": 1, "method": "positions sharing a capacity pool or any route/pool dependency form one conservative group; dependency exposure is deduplicated per position and Shannon effective count uses group notionals" }, "destinationAccount": "hard-usd-operating-account", "escapeVector": { "achievedSurvival": 0.998, "achievedWilsonLower95": 0.992737, "action": { "actBy": "2026-08-05T00:00:00Z", "actByBasis": "latest included calendar boundary; redemption and direct cash must be effective before obligations are tested at this boundary", "actByDay": 2, "currency": "USD", "destinationAccount": "hard-usd-operating-account", "directCashAmount": 0, "kind": "initiate_full_redemption_and_secure_direct_cash", "positionId": "ustb-demo", "redeemAmount": 10000000, "routeId": "ustb-fireblocks-usdc-bank-a", "secondRouteEnabled": false }, "actionSpace": "selected_position_full_redemption_x_primary_or_declared_second_route_x_integer_action_day_x_direct_cash_cents", "actionsEvaluated": 92, "authorisedLimit": 5000000, "baselineSurvival": 0.999, "certificationScope": "exact over fixed common-random-number paths, integer calendar-boundary action days, full redemption of the selected position through the primary or optional declared second route, and cent-grid direct cash", "empiricalDirectCash": 0, "feasible": true, "latestSafeAction": { "actBy": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z", "actByBasis": "latest included calendar boundary; redemption and direct cash must be effective before obligations are tested at this boundary", "actByDay": 8, "currency": "USD", "destinationAccount": "hard-usd-operating-account", "directCashAmount": 4000000, "kind": "initiate_full_redemption_and_secure_direct_cash", "positionId": "ustb-demo", "redeemAmount": 10000000, "routeId": "ustb-fireblocks-usdc-bank-a", "secondRouteEnabled": false }, "method": "exhaustive lexicographic pilot optimization: minimize required direct cash, then avoid enabling the second route, then choose the latest tied day; latestSafeAction separately maximizes the feasible day under the authorised cash limit", "minimumCertified": true, "requiredDirectCash": 0, "targetSurvival": 0.98, "timingScope": "cash and redemption are initiated at the published calendar boundary before that boundary's obligation test; no intraday intervention claim" }, "exitCertainty": [ { "amount": 10000000, "deadlineDays": 4, "maxHaircutBps": 20, "monteCarloSE": 0.014214, "positionId": "ustb-demo", "probability": 0.719, "routeId": "ustb-fireblocks-usdc-bank-a", "successes": 719, "wilsonLower95": 0.690344, "wilsonUpper95": 0.74598 } ], "exitGraph": { "edges": [ { "capacityPerDay": 5000000, "capacityPoolId": "route:ustb-fireblocks-usdc-bank-a", "dependencies": [ "bank-a", "fireblocks", "usdc" ], "from": "position:9:ustb-demo", "id": "edge-phase:9:ustb-demo:1:0", "kind": "route_phase_progression", "ratePerDay": 2, "to": "stage:9:ustb-demo:15:issuer_approval" }, { "capacityPerDay": 5000000, "capacityPoolId": "route:ustb-fireblocks-usdc-bank-a", "dependencies": [ "bank-a", "fireblocks", "usdc" ], "from": "stage:9:ustb-demo:15:issuer_approval", "id": "edge-phase:9:ustb-demo:1:1", "kind": "route_phase_progression", "ratePerDay": 4, "to": 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